Capital Preservation First, Maximum Profits Second - tradesavant.com

Apple Investor

Latest News for Apple Investors

action-principlesBill Fitzpatrick, you need to “Know Everything.” Before you buy a single share, before you purchase that investment property, you need to know everything there is to know that might influence that investment. Otherwise it’s a fool’s gambit.

You need to know the company behind the stock, its financial health, and any events that might be taking place, such as reporting earnings. You need to have an acute and tacit knowledge of the industry, sector and market conditions that will likely influence investor sentiment. You must know how to analyze the fundamentals of this company, as well as the fundamentals of the market and industry it belongs to. You need to be a skilled chartist, and be able to perform technical analysis of the stock and markets to understand resistance and support levels, price/volume momentum, contrarian indicators, patterns, and much more.
[click to continue…]

What Style Trader Are You?

by admin on April 28, 2009

tradingscreenTrading styles can be categorized in to one of three categories; Day Trading, Swing Trading, and Position or Trend Trading. The styles differ essentially by the amount of time the position is open or in play. Traders that day trade, like the name implies, open a position and close it within the same day or trading session. Swing traders have longer horizons, where their trades can be open for several days or even weeks. And Position traders can have positions in play for many months.

Each of the styles have their advantages and disadvantages. And traders are generally predisposed to one or the other style based on a wide variety of factors. Some traders, use all three styles in varying weights depending upon things like market conditions and business objectives. The styles also differ in the amount of time a trader must allot in any given day to the setup and management of a position. [click to continue…]

There are many theories and techniques that professional traders use to size their positions. For some, it can be very formulaic, especially for forex traders, taking the human element out of the equation and let the computer do the work. A properly sized position can mean the difference between great gains and spectacular losses.

For the average investor, position sizing is equally important. The difference is, we don’t have and need sophisticated systems and formulas to calculate our positions. There are many techniques to determined a properly sized position, but I’m going to describe just one, that is straight forward and easy to use. It’s called Risk Sizing. [click to continue…]

[display_podcast]

One of the queries I get frequently from Wilderness members, who are not familiar with Technical Analysis, is about terminology, and about the various disciplines within technical Analysis. I’d like to answer each and every one of those questions, but it would take several podcasts to do it. So, what I’m going to do instead is describe the top ten disciplines that make up Technical Analysis, at least from my perspective, and then in later episodes I’ll cover each one in more detail. Some of the disciplines may take several episodes. So, you can look forward to a new episode on technical analysis every week. [click to continue…]

Asset Allocation Strategy

by admin on May 17, 2009

It’s impossible to conjure up a generic asset allocation strategy for someone without knowing their tolerance and capacity for risk, their short and long term goals, and the time they have to dedicate to managing their money. So I’m not going to try to do that. Instead, I’m going to describe my strategy of asset allocation and you decide if that might work for you.

My strategy is partly based on my fundamental investment philosophy that states, preservation of capital comes first, achieving maximum profits second. It’s also based on a variant of a strategy described in the book “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.” It’s a New York Times best seller, written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. [click to continue…]

The Apple Investor Chartist

by admin on July 8, 2009

A while back I produced the podcast called Technical Analysis Top Ten List, and in the prologue I said that I would cover each of the top ten in subsequent podcasts. Well, here I’m going to talk about charting, and cover this important topic from two perspectives:

    1. An overview of the components of a candlestick chart
    2. How to create and annotate charts using StockCharts.com

This tutorial will assume that you don’t have a paid membership with StockCharts.com, and where appropriate I’ll refer to member-only features. But let me say this before we go further, if you’re serious about investing, you’ll want to either buy a high quality program, or get yourself a subscription to StockCharts.com. [click to continue…]

How many successful business out there do you think made it without a well thought out business plan? That’s right, very, very few. If they did succeed it was probably a fluke or fad. The businesses that are most successful, most certainly had a business plan that was followed, that evolved, that set about principles that ensured its success.

Here’s another poignant question. How many successful traders out there are operating without a business plan? The answer is very few, if any. Virtually all successful traders have a trading plan. So, what makes you think you’re different from all the successful traders? Someone once said, “If you want to be a millionaire, then do what the millionaires do.” And the extension to that saying is, “If you want to do anything well, then do what the successful people do.” The winners have discovered how to be a winner, you can benefit from their experience, their knowledge, their wisdom. [click to continue…]

There’s no doubt that Apple Investors are both disappointed and frustrated that their favorite stock hasn’t realized its full price potential after kick-ass earnings back in October. That frustration was compounded last week with an unusual downgrade from Needham analyst Charlie Wolf.

Mr Wolf downgraded AAPL to a Buy from a Strong Buy for what he called “valuation reasons.” He sheepishly explained that it was “admittedly arbitrary” criteria for the lower valuation. He snow-flaked this lame-ass move by saying the recession made him do it.  Didn’t he get the memo that Apple is recession proof. What further evidence does he need? Makes you wonder if they believe their target of $235 and first quarter EPS prediction of $1.77. Cautious, yet optimistic. Just like an analysts, fear of committal.

Well, all of this is just foolish fodder, because AAPL is setting up for a near-term bullish advance. And this analysis has nothing to do with the economy or fundamentals, it has everything to do with technicals, and the indicators are in favorable alignment.

aapl112209

AAPL is currently at the bottom of its uptrend, which provides pretty good support by itself, but it’s also developing a lateral base from the gap-up it created at earnings time and the strong advance it had November 9th. Let’s add to that the hollow candle it sported on Friday, and the very favorable oversold conditions on the near-term charts, and you have the makings for a nice near-term pop in price.

A good trade might look like this:

Best Entry: $199.50 to 200.50
Target: $210
Stop: $195

[display_podcast]

This feed contains no entries

by admin on September 3, 2010

Click here to read at the source...

This feed contains no entries

Elk Horn, Iowa: an Oasis for Electric Cars

September 3, 2010

Here’s something you probably didn’t know about the town of Elk Horn, Iowa: it has America’s highest concentration of electric vehicle charging stations.

Read the full article →

Plex to integrate with LG TVs as "free" Apple TV alternative

September 3, 2010

Plex at IFA has revealed that its media front end is being integrated into new LG TVs and Blu-ray players. Any Internet-capable devices made in 2011 will access an online version of Plex. Although they won’t have the usual local storage, they will re…

Read the full article →

TUAW’s Daily App: Mirror’s Edge

September 3, 2010

Usually, we like to use this space to highlight developers and apps that could use a little more exposure, not call out big-budget titles from developers like Electronic Arts. But this one’s worth it — Mirror’s Edge is a pretty terrific, completely o…

Read the full article →

iOS now 3rd most popular internet platform after Windows, Mac

September 3, 2010

iOS vs Linux vs Android internet share

Net Applications is reporting that iOS has passed Linux to become the third most popular platform accessing the internet. With a 1.1% share, they’re still behind big brother Mac OS X’s 5% and way behind Windows all-encompassing 91.3% share. However, for a mobile OS, especially considering the next most popular mobile OS, Android, is at [...]

iOS now 3rd most popular internet platform after Windows, Mac is a story by TiPb. This feed is sponsored by The iPhone Blog Store.

TiPb – The #1 iPhone, iPad, and iPod touch Blog

Read the full article →

The Atlantic Joins the iTunes Newsstand [MediaMemo]

September 3, 2010

It’s $4.99 a pop at Apple’s digital store, and publisher Atlantic Media Company got Dow to pony up for the right to be the “launch sponsor” for the app. App developer RareWire did the technical heavy lifting.

Read the full article →

iPhone Spam Strikes Facebook and Ping

September 3, 2010

(Image courtesy of 9to5Mac)They may not be bosom buddies at the moment, but Facebook and Ping are together in feeling the pain of spam — in this case, the kind that touts supposedly “free” iPhones, as if there could ever be such a thing.9to5Mac is…

Read the full article →

News: Apple Highlights Upcoming iPad Features

September 3, 2010

Apple announced during its iPod and music-related media event on Wednesday that iOS 4.2 with new features for the iPad would be available in November. Now Apple has a Web page dedicated to showing off exactly what iPad owners can expect when they final…

Read the full article →

SD Association vows breakthrough 300MBps SD card speeds

September 3, 2010

Following an announcement from Toshiba at IFA yesterday that it has developed SDHC memory cards based on the new UHS-1 standard, the SD Association today outlined its plans for its forthcoming SD 4.0 standard. The breakthrough means that SD 4.0 can sup…

Read the full article →

iPhone Exclusivity Ending In Germany [Digital Daily]

September 3, 2010

Germany is the last major European market with a single iPhone carrier. But not for much longer. Deutsche Telekom-owned carrier T-Mobile’s iPhone exclusivity deal with Apple is nearing expiration and has not been extended.

Read the full article →