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action-principlesBill Fitzpatrick, you need to “Know Everything.” Before you buy a single share, before you purchase that investment property, you need to know everything there is to know that might influence that investment. Otherwise it’s a fool’s gambit.

You need to know the company behind the stock, its financial health, and any events that might be taking place, such as reporting earnings. You need to have an acute and tacit knowledge of the industry, sector and market conditions that will likely influence investor sentiment. You must know how to analyze the fundamentals of this company, as well as the fundamentals of the market and industry it belongs to. You need to be a skilled chartist, and be able to perform technical analysis of the stock and markets to understand resistance and support levels, price/volume momentum, contrarian indicators, patterns, and much more.
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What Style Trader Are You?

by admin on April 28, 2009

tradingscreenTrading styles can be categorized in to one of three categories; Day Trading, Swing Trading, and Position or Trend Trading. The styles differ essentially by the amount of time the position is open or in play. Traders that day trade, like the name implies, open a position and close it within the same day or trading session. Swing traders have longer horizons, where their trades can be open for several days or even weeks. And Position traders can have positions in play for many months.

Each of the styles have their advantages and disadvantages. And traders are generally predisposed to one or the other style based on a wide variety of factors. Some traders, use all three styles in varying weights depending upon things like market conditions and business objectives. The styles also differ in the amount of time a trader must allot in any given day to the setup and management of a position. [click to continue…]

There are many theories and techniques that professional traders use to size their positions. For some, it can be very formulaic, especially for forex traders, taking the human element out of the equation and let the computer do the work. A properly sized position can mean the difference between great gains and spectacular losses.

For the average investor, position sizing is equally important. The difference is, we don’t have and need sophisticated systems and formulas to calculate our positions. There are many techniques to determined a properly sized position, but I’m going to describe just one, that is straight forward and easy to use. It’s called Risk Sizing. [click to continue…]

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One of the queries I get frequently from Wilderness members, who are not familiar with Technical Analysis, is about terminology, and about the various disciplines within technical Analysis. I’d like to answer each and every one of those questions, but it would take several podcasts to do it. So, what I’m going to do instead is describe the top ten disciplines that make up Technical Analysis, at least from my perspective, and then in later episodes I’ll cover each one in more detail. Some of the disciplines may take several episodes. So, you can look forward to a new episode on technical analysis every week. [click to continue…]

Asset Allocation Strategy

by admin on May 17, 2009

It’s impossible to conjure up a generic asset allocation strategy for someone without knowing their tolerance and capacity for risk, their short and long term goals, and the time they have to dedicate to managing their money. So I’m not going to try to do that. Instead, I’m going to describe my strategy of asset allocation and you decide if that might work for you.

My strategy is partly based on my fundamental investment philosophy that states, preservation of capital comes first, achieving maximum profits second. It’s also based on a variant of a strategy described in the book “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.” It’s a New York Times best seller, written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. [click to continue…]

The Apple Investor Chartist

by admin on July 8, 2009

A while back I produced the podcast called Technical Analysis Top Ten List, and in the prologue I said that I would cover each of the top ten in subsequent podcasts. Well, here I’m going to talk about charting, and cover this important topic from two perspectives:

    1. An overview of the components of a candlestick chart
    2. How to create and annotate charts using StockCharts.com

This tutorial will assume that you don’t have a paid membership with StockCharts.com, and where appropriate I’ll refer to member-only features. But let me say this before we go further, if you’re serious about investing, you’ll want to either buy a high quality program, or get yourself a subscription to StockCharts.com. [click to continue…]

How many successful business out there do you think made it without a well thought out business plan? That’s right, very, very few. If they did succeed it was probably a fluke or fad. The businesses that are most successful, most certainly had a business plan that was followed, that evolved, that set about principles that ensured its success.

Here’s another poignant question. How many successful traders out there are operating without a business plan? The answer is very few, if any. Virtually all successful traders have a trading plan. So, what makes you think you’re different from all the successful traders? Someone once said, “If you want to be a millionaire, then do what the millionaires do.” And the extension to that saying is, “If you want to do anything well, then do what the successful people do.” The winners have discovered how to be a winner, you can benefit from their experience, their knowledge, their wisdom. [click to continue…]

There’s no doubt that Apple Investors are both disappointed and frustrated that their favorite stock hasn’t realized its full price potential after kick-ass earnings back in October. That frustration was compounded last week with an unusual downgrade from Needham analyst Charlie Wolf.

Mr Wolf downgraded AAPL to a Buy from a Strong Buy for what he called “valuation reasons.” He sheepishly explained that it was “admittedly arbitrary” criteria for the lower valuation. He snow-flaked this lame-ass move by saying the recession made him do it.  Didn’t he get the memo that Apple is recession proof. What further evidence does he need? Makes you wonder if they believe their target of $235 and first quarter EPS prediction of $1.77. Cautious, yet optimistic. Just like an analysts, fear of committal.

Well, all of this is just foolish fodder, because AAPL is setting up for a near-term bullish advance. And this analysis has nothing to do with the economy or fundamentals, it has everything to do with technicals, and the indicators are in favorable alignment.

aapl112209

AAPL is currently at the bottom of its uptrend, which provides pretty good support by itself, but it’s also developing a lateral base from the gap-up it created at earnings time and the strong advance it had November 9th. Let’s add to that the hollow candle it sported on Friday, and the very favorable oversold conditions on the near-term charts, and you have the makings for a nice near-term pop in price.

A good trade might look like this:

Best Entry: $199.50 to 200.50
Target: $210
Stop: $195

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AT&T will still implement 21Mbps 3G on its network on its way to 4G, the company's Mobility chief Ralph de la Vega said in an interview late Thursday. The provider had late last year said it would skip HSPA+ to make a more direct leap, but de la Vega now sees the advanced 3G reaching "certain locations" before 4G becomes widespread. He didn't yet have information for FierceWireless as to which areas would get the faster treatment....

iPad Coming April 3 – Pre-Ordering Now Open

March 12, 2010

image Get your iPad on day one. Pre-order it from the Apple Online Store and have it delivered free on April 3. Or reserve one to pick up at your favorite Apple Retail Store on April 3…….Continue Reading


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Tim Cook nets $22m in bonuses for covering Jobs

March 12, 2010

Apple in a just-published SEC filing has revealed that its chief operating officer, Tim Cook, was paid about $22 million in bonuses for acting as CEO during Steve Jobs’ medical leave last year. The payouts included both a $5 million immediate bonus as well as 75,000 units of restricted stock, which at the time issued were worth about $17 million. Both reflect the “outstanding performance” in taking Apple’s helm, the filing reads….


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Chatroulette Dude: I Don’t Want to Sell. But I’d Like Google To Pay. [MediaMemo]

March 12, 2010

Meet Andrey Ternovskiy, who built the voyeur/chat site everyone loves to talk about. He’s too young for AdWords, but old enough to play hard to get with investors.

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Apple’s Cook Gets $22 Million Bonus [Voices]

March 12, 2010

Apple Inc. awarded Chief Operating Officer Timothy Cook a cash-and-stock bonus worth about $22 million for filling in while Steve Jobs, the consumer electronics giant’s chief executive, was on medical leave.

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Checking in from Samana Bay, Dominican Republic, aboard the M/S Regatta

March 12, 2010

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It seems that a lot of Apple-related events happen while I’m on cruise ships. Back in 1998, for example, I was aboard a cruise ship when I read the headline that Apple had decided to drop the Newton MessagePad. Before we went on this trip, I knew that Apple would start taking iPad pre-orders and reservations on March 12, so I expected that I’d just be able to pull up the Apple website early in the morning, pop in my reservation, and then go on with my vacation. Little did I know that it was going to take me until 4 PM local time (3 PM ET) on March 12th to get my reservation into the system.

Just before I went to sleep the evening of March 11th, I saw a post here on TUAW that outlined when the Apple Online Store would open for pre-orders and reservations. Doing a quick time calculation in my head, I determined that I’d be able to pop in at 9:30 AM local time and make my order… no, wait a second. At 8:30 AM, I was going to be taking a ship’s tender over to shore. Dang.

We were scheduled for the proverbial “three hour tour” in this beautiful tropical location, so I decided to be patient and wait until I got back to the ship at about 11:30 AM local time. Of course, when we were on the other side of the Samana peninsula at 12 PM local time and still hadn’t left, I realized that I was going to really have to put the order on hold for a while.

The weather started getting rough, the tiny ship was tossed… well, at least the tender going back to the ship was getting bounced around pretty good. We finally headed back towards the ship when they announced that we’d have to go to Cayo Levantado, a small resort island in the midst of the bay, to transfer to a larger tender before returning to the ship.

Eventually, at about 2 PM, we were back aboard the ship and I was ready to run to our stateroom, fire up the MacBook Air, and make my order. However, “she who must be obeyed” was starving (as was I), so we stopped at the ship’s poolside grill for a quick bite to eat. Everyone else who had been on a shore excursion was thinking the same thing, so the line for a quick bite was moving slowly.

Finally, after talking with some fellow passengers, having a beer, and finishing our lunch, we made our way down to the stateroom where I fired up the computer, hooked into the horribly expensive and ridiculously slow shipboard Wi-Fi, and started the reservation process at about 3:15 PM local time.

How expensive? Can you say US$0.60 per minute? Of course you can! How slow? I think the 300-baud modem that I had with my original Commodore VIC-20 was faster! The total reservation process, which would probably take about 5 minutes on my office Internet connection, took about 45 minutes to complete. Thank God we had a bottle of wine to open and drink while waiting….

Well, all is done and I’ve reserved a 64GB iPad for pickup on April 3rd. I’ll also have some great and funny memories of this day every time I turn on that iPad.

TUAWChecking in from Samana Bay, Dominican Republic, aboard the M/S Regatta originally appeared on The Unofficial Apple Weblog (TUAW) on Fri, 12 Mar 2010 19:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Briefly: WindowFlow Beta released, DRO’s new iPhone case

March 12, 2010

Benedict Lowndes has a WindowFlow beta for Mac OS X. The software allows users to organize their workspace with a series of keyboard commands for moving, resizing, and aligning application windows. A tiling function enables users to select a group of windows to fill the screen in a selected tile layout. The beta release is available as a free 14-day trial, or users may opt to purchase the standard or pro versions at a discounted price of $8 or $12, respectively. Following the final release, the price will rise to $12 for the standard version and $22 for the Pro versi…


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Apple’s Claim to the Letter “i” – Rejected

March 12, 2010

i_trademark

Apple’s claim to the letter “i” has come to a screeching halt as a trademarks tribunal has rejected the company’s bid to stop a small company from using their favorite letter of the alphabet.

This particular company wanted to name it’s cases for Apple products DOPi, which is iPod spelled backwards. Apple’s argument was that [...]

Apple’s Claim to the Letter “i” – Rejected is a story by TiPb. This feed is sponsored by The iPhone Blog Store.

TiPb – The #1 iPhone, iPad, and iPod touch Blog

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How many iPads is Apple selling? One estimate: 20,000/hr.

March 12, 2010

Andrew Erlichson, CEO of Phanfare, estimates that Apple has been making about 20,000 sales of the iPad every hour since the company began taking pre-orders for the device at 8:30 AM EST Friday.

This guess is based on the fact that Erlichson’s company purchased two iPads today, about 30 minutes apart, and that the second order ID number was 10,000 higher in the sequence than the first.

At this rate, Apple will sell all the iPads from its original manufacturing cycle within a week.
From Mr. Erlichson’s blog:

“We just bought two iPads, about 30 minutes apart. Our order IDs are 10,000 apart. Assuming those order IDs are sequential, and they appear to be, then Apple is selling 20,000 iPads per hour. Assuming most orders are for the $499 model, and that people are only buying 1 per order, that means Apple is selling $10MM/hour. Of course that is not sustainable, but if they did it for a year, it would be $87.6B.”

[AP Photo]

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A Look at the iPhone Games Made with Mono Touch

March 12, 2010

GameWeek

We took some time to talk with the developers at Mono Touch to discuss their software that allows developers to create iPhone native apps from C# and .NET based apps. The app helps independent and big time developers deliver games and applications to the mobile device by offering the tools to code apps that utilize the iPhone’s operating system. Recently, Mono Touch also released support for the iPad SDK.

This sofware is available for the average coding consumer and is free to try. Check out our video below to see three apps developed using Mono Touch.

 

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